The Cotton Gin of Content

•April 21, 2008 • 1 Comment

I’ve been searching for a way to explain to my friends how and why the internet is disrupting so many business models.  After listening to MacBreak Weekly this week(Episode 85), I have my answer:  It’s like the Cotton Gin of Content.

The Cotton Gin changed the cotton industry in America forever.  It allowed cotton producers to use much less manpower to produce the same amount of cotton.  The end result was a huge increase in the amount of cotton produced and in the revenue stream generated by that cotton.  It increased efficiency and lowered costs.

The Internet does the same thing, but it does it for content.  The old business models surrounding content are dying.  The primary example is the music industry, which can’t entirely keep up with the switchover to digital music.  They can no longer control the content they produce.  Even digital rights managements doesn’t allow them to maintain control.  From the point of view of the Music Industry, the internet is a disruptive technology.  This isn’t true, however.  The Internet is, in actuality, a Revolutionary Innovation.  It has changed the landscape of content entirely.  People are no longer forced to use content in the ways that they were intended to be used.

The Content producing industries (like the Music Industry, the Publishing Industry, and the Movie Industry) are operating under a model where they control the content they produce.  This will no longer work in a world where I can make an infinite number of perfect digital copies of any content I have, especially when the amount of effort I have to invest in making those copies is almost Nil.  All of the content industries have had to deal with illegal copying, whether it was mix tapes or copying VHS tapes.  But for the first time, I can make a copy that is exactly the same quality as the original and invest little to no energy in the process.

In order to survive the coming decade, the content producing industries need to change their business models.  Some of them are starting to experiment with online distribution.  Hulu.com is an excellent example of how the industry can embrace the new world.  Unfortunately, NBC and their partners on Hulu are still holding on to the old idea of limiting access to that content.  I’m convinced that people will be unwilling to watch most of their programming on a computer screen.  If Hulu provided a way to move that data to existing set top boxes like TiVo or the Apple TV, they’d go a long way to providing a true alternative to Television.

I often hear “They just don’t get it” in regards to the major content industries.  I disagree.  I think they entirely get it, and it terrifies them.  Their bottoms lines are falling away and they can’t see a way to use the Internet to bring their numbers back.  I’m convinced they never will.  The profit margins for content on the internet are much smaller than for traditional controlled media.  The old models need to change to adapt to that, and that means losing a lot of money, especially at first.  But it has to be done, or they’re in danger of losing everything.  It’s better to make less money than to make no money at all.

In order to win this game, the content providers need to downsize their industry, cut costs, and give up the idea of controlling their content.  Otherwise, they’re dead in the water, and none of us want that.  Like the Cotton Gin, the internet provides a new way to do things.  It’s change or die.  Time to buck up boys.

Bon Voyage, Luna and Royale

•April 18, 2008 • Leave a Comment

Default XP Luna Style

I don’t get it.  I really don’t get why they did it.  Vista does not have the XP Luna or Royale UI styles.  You know, this would be a perfect addition for Microsoft to make to Vista in a new Service Pack or something.  This would possibly lower the system requirements to run Vista without having to go back to the crappy classic look.  Also, the non-aero Vista style is ugly and you don’t have any color options.  In addtion to adding the Luna and Royale UI styles to Vista, they should have to color customizable like the classic and Aero Glass Styles.  This type of customization should be a requirement for all UIs.  In anycase, Microsoft should provide an alternate visual type that takes up less resources and still looks good.

In the meantime, you can get third party Luna Themes for Vista.  Links on the Wikipedia article, click the image to get there.

Vista Luna Theme

Vista Internal Promo Video

•April 18, 2008 • Leave a Comment

*puts soapbox in middle of the room and steps up onto it.*

You are all wrong!  Vista is not a disaster!  This Vista hate has got to stop.  Just look at XP.  When it first came out, people were still using Windows 98 and and Windows 2000 for a few years.  It was not until SP2 that XP started getting on a majority of computers.  Vista will be the same way.  If you are getting a new computer, with at least 1GB if not 2GB of RAM and a video card with at least 128MB of VRAM, you’re good for Vista.  You do not need to use the Aero Glass interface, so just turn it off.  I myself enjoy it.

Now, for this video.  This video is a joke.  It was meant to be a joke.  It’s a moral booster for the people who work at Microsoft.  It was leaked to the public onto YouTube.  Now, you just laugh at it.  It’s funny.  It’s ludicris that people take offence at this video.  Laugh, I say, laugh!  This Vista hate is making me want to ditch OS X and be a pure Vista household!  Enjoy the video.

Myspace Vs Facebook

•April 16, 2008 • Leave a Comment

Who will win a prizefight? Brian Tong finds out on CNET TV.

http://www.cnettv.com/9742-1_53-50001799.html

I Actually Agree With Don . . . for Once

•April 4, 2008 • 2 Comments

What video game haters don’t want you to know | The Digital Home – Don Reisinger’s take on the tech closest to home – CNET Blogs

The curmudgeon is an essential view on the tech industry. We have plenty of them. Without them, we wouldn’t have balance in the Tech Universe. The curmudgeon provides a view that’s not completely negative but they do point out the flaws and provide the doubt for some new items Some have classified Molly Wood as one, but I consider her more of a someone who rants alot. Check out BOL692: Shine On, Chumby for a great Mollyrant during the voicemails.

As noted by the previous link to a Digital Home entry, I’m not one to really agree with Don Reisinger. I’d almost call him the next John C Dvorak, which to some is actually a compliment, and it should be. This time he goes on a tirade about this article:

Video games: I’ll never buy one | Giles Whittell – Times Online

You should read it. I’ll wait . . . Back? Don and I actually agree that this guy is a fracking moron. Well, maybe not a moron but he’s at least wrong and he doesn’t know why. This could be primarily a generational thing where, “When I was a kid, I didn’t have any video games. I went outside, played ball, marveled at the scenery and architecture of other places.” Well, bully for you, Giles. Today, kids are different. They don’t care about the “bourgeois paragons”. Hell, they have no idea what “bourgeois paragons” even means. Kids just don’t care as much anymore.

I have really big problem with Giles’ argument and Don completely agrees with me. Giles, join me at Camera Two.

HOW THE HELL DOES VIDEO GAMES RELATE TO TEENAGE PREGNANCY AND SMACK? Come on. You want your kids to overdose on wind, rain, mud, gravy, tents, mountains and overcooked bacon. What do you think kids will do when running around town, going camping, eating. Running around town, shooting up heroin. Going camping, having sex in the tent. Eating, and becoming fat and unhealthy. Video games provides kids something to do at home, safe and sound. Games are not all Halo 3 and Gears of War 2. Games like Professor Layton and the Curious Village and Brain Age. Those games are puzzles, thinking games. On my Wii I have a game called Kororinpa: Marble Mania which is much more about skill then killing people because you’re rolling a freakin’ marble around a maze. Some games are actually educational like Where In The World Is Carmen Sandiego. Carmen Sandiego games have always forced kids to look up real world facts in order to figure out where they need to go next.

Anyway, I do believe that kids need to get away from the computer and TV. Kids should go outside and play tag and ghost in the graveyard and other non-electronic games. However, on those rainy days when they cannot get together, what better way to hang out with your friends then Xbox Live or World of Warcraft or some other online system. Hell, get together at someone’s house and play games. Although I do say that games like Monopoly and Kill Doctor Lucky would be more fun, but that’s just me.

Okay, enough with the product placement.You all get what I mean. Kids need to do their homework, learn, but when they want to just veg out after it’s all over, let the kids play games. Immersion into an environment can help kids with their imagination, creativity and eye hand coordination. Get your kids a video game system then use the parental controls to limit the time they are on the system. Otherwise, they will just go play at someone else’s house.

Video games are not evil.

Foleo Flopped, Redfly Rock

•April 2, 2008 • Leave a Comment

REDFLY Mobile Companion gets previewed – Engadget

I’d almost say that this is a brilliant new idea, but it’s more of a brilliant new implementation of an idea. The Redfly is a mobile companion, meaning that it’s not your complete mobile solution. Much like the Palm Foleo, the Redfly requires a mobile phone to connect to. Unlike the Foleo, it does not have it’s own operating system. The Foleo was intended to be an portable laptop that uses your cell phone for all your internet connectivity needs. The Redfly is just a larger screen and a full keyboard and trackpad interface for your Windows Mobile phone. Essentially, a Cell Phone accessory.

I actually really like this idea. Sometimes when I sit down I want to work on my cell but I want a bigger keyboard. This would be even better if you could connect it to an iPhone as that is what I have. However, Windows Mobile would probably be just fine. Before the iPhone I was kinda drooling over an HTC mogul from Sprint. When you connect the device, the WinMo screen displays onto the Redfly. This system basically gives you another interface into the Phone. The Foleo just needed the phone to provide the network connectivity and was primarily a second device. The Redfly allows you to work directly on the phone so that any changes you made you can easily access on your phone without syncing. If you have a Windows Mobile phone, I suggest you try out a Redfly.

Is Blu-Ray Doomed? Is it really?

•March 15, 2008 • 1 Comment

Blu-ray is doomed | The Digital Home

As much as I wished that HD-DVD to win, we ended up with Blu-ray. Sorry, HD-VMD, I don’t think you have a chance. In any case, I found this article by CNET’s version of John C Dvorak, Don Reisinger, on his The Digital Home Blog and he makes a case for the dooming of Blu-ray.

Don gets his predictions based off of the interview he had with James McQuivey, vice president and principal analyst at Forrester Research whom he interviewed on his Digital Home podcast episode 5, it’s well worth a listen.  I agree with Don on many of his points, disagree on others, and just think differently on other’s, let’s run it down.

Reason 1: Flexibility

Believe it or not, but Blu-ray is flexible and portable. It’s the size and shape as a regular DVD. The problem is device saturation. DVD has been around for years so almost everyone has a DVD player. When DVD first came out, the players were $200-$300.  Infact I still have a DVD player that I bought back in 1999 or 2000 that I paid $200 for and it’s still running great.  Right now Blu-ray needs to make affordable players and portables just like there are for DVD. Once the players are saturating the market and portable Blu-ray players are being made and are cost close to portable DVD players, Blu-ray will be more flexible.

Reason 2: Looks

This I whole heartedly agree with this. On your average TV or HDTV smaller then say 40 inches, you may not notice a difference between SD and HD. DVD looks just fine. And when watching on an HDTV with an up converting DVD player or Blu-ray player, you’re not going to know much for the difference. I do have to say that once you’re getting up into the larger screens where the pixels are bigger, you’re going to be able to tell. Up converting DVD is not a perfect process so the true differences between SD and HD are going to be more prominent the larger the screen you get. I only want a 32” LCD TV, a Sony Bravia would be nice, and a Blu-ray player. I have a nice DVD collection which I’ll be able to easily play on the Blu-ray player up converted to near HD quality through HDMI. I’ll be perfectly satisfied and I’ll purchase movies in Blu-ray whenever available to make sure I get the best quality from now on, just in case.  However, for the time being, the general audience will be satisfied with regular DVD quality.

Reason 3: Cost

If anything is going to lead to Blu-ray’s downfall, it’s this. Blu-ray is just too expensive. A quick search for Blu-ray players on CNET.com found theSamsung BD-P1400. The lowest price for a new one was from Amazon.com at $399.95. If you want to save some cash, you can get a refurbished one for as low as $229.99. I don’t know about you, but that isn’t very affordable. I might consider that if I’m constantly watching Blu-ray discs and DVDs, but even that it’s still on the expensive side. I also believe that most people will want to buy a new one. Blu-ray is not going to gain market share until they bring their prices down. Also, the prices of movies on Blu-ray are too high as well. I did a search for The Fifth Element and found the regular price for the DVD as $19.94 and the regular price for the Blu-ray disc is $28.95. DVD is going to be staying around for a long time unless Blu-ray can get to the same price as DVD. I honestly don’t expect the players to get as low as DVD players nowadays but definitely the actual discs.

Reason 4: Time

You know, this isn’t a reason, this is just a warning, and a pure bullshit of a warning. Don is saying that Blu-ray is going to soon be in a war with HD Downloads or even standard def movie downloads. I don’t give a damn of what anyone thinks, digital downloads are not and will not be ready for prime time for a long time running. I strongly believe that people do not want to watch movies on their computers, they would much rather watch it on a bigger screen, on a TV.  Now with the Apple TV and VUDU Box out there as set top boxes for digital downloads.  You also cannot discount the Xbox 360 for it’s digital downloads.  Again, digital downloads don’t provide the quality that you get from either a Blu-ray disc or a DVD.  I can be satisfied with downloading a movie for renting if all I’m looking for is to watch the movie.  But the experience is not the same as a disc.  The disc can provide special features such as commentary tracks and music videos, etc.  To me, having the physical media in my hand provides me with a sense of security.  I don’t have to worry about my hard drive crashing and loosing my movie.  I don’t have to worry about licensing deals or anything of that nature.  I get the movie from the store or from Amazon or from where ever and I can see it, touch it, I know it’s there.  I’m sorry, but physical media is going to stay around for a long time.  Blu-ray is going to be the next generation of this technology.  It’s going to take some time before it gets it’s market saturation but I can almost guarantee it will.

So, is Blu-ray doomed?  Hell, no.  It’s just still in it’s infancy.  Once Blu-ray gets it’s act together and start saturating relatively affordable players and as people start upgrading to HDTV, Blu-ray will grow into the next DVD.

Ballmer Is An Idiot

•February 22, 2008 • Leave a Comment

Yang to Ballmer: May your first child be a masculine child | Tech news blog – CNET News.com

Charles Cooper from CNET News.com has a great commentary about what should be done if Microsoft does acquire Yahoo! One of his main points pretty much says that Microsoft needs to maintain the Yahoo! brand. I whole heartedly agree with this. As I said previously in my Yahoo!/Microsoft merger wishlist I think that Microsoft needs to own Yahoo! and merge all web services into Yahoo! and keep the Yahoo! brand. Yahoo! would then use the resources available through Microsoft to help get their business back up and running. I don’t know about you but if they do split the web services side off as a separate company with Microsoft owning 51% of the shares, Ballmer should NOT be the chairman of the board. Should it be Yang? Maybe, or maybe they need someone new. In anycase, I do not think that Ballmer is a good choice for chairman of Yahoo!

The Website Is Down!!

•February 18, 2008 • Leave a Comment

THE INCASE WEBSITE IS DOWN, THE INCASE WEBSITE IS DOWN, WHAT’S GOING TO HAPPEN?!

Well, no one really cares, it’s not Apple. But they make really nice iPod and iPhone Cases.

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What Java Was Suppose To Be

•February 13, 2008 • Leave a Comment

Way back in 1995, Sun release a programing language and runtime environment with the intent to “Write Once, Run Anyware” essentially enabling programmers to allow their programs to be cross platform from the get go. Java has evolved over the years and has remained somewhat popular. It was a great idea but for some reason, I always felt like Java programs run slower then how they intended to be. In come Adobe with the Adobe Integrated Runtime or AIR. Adobe AIR is taking on Java with what feels like a lighter weight runtime environment. AIR is the culmination of Flash, Adobe Flex, HTML, and AJAX, all of which are new technologies that have been implemented since Java’s initial release. When the web was initially released, it needed to be something that would be somewhat lightweight dealing with simple text coding that a web browser would be able to translate into a web page. As Internet speeds increased, and web technologies advanced, multimedia moved to the forefront of web technologies. To create this, Javascript (no real relation to Java) was used to dynamically create portions of and even full webpages. Being that the browser is the runtime environment for Javascript instead of a separate download, Javascript allowed for much faster interface enhancements. With HTML and Javascript, the web began to change and grow. Again, speeds increased and a new technology is introduced by Macromedia, Shockwave. Shockwave was a multimedia player which was run through a plugin through your browser. Eventually Macromedia developed Macromedia Flash as an animation movie platform which it is still used today for. Adobe bought out Macromedia and continued to developed the Flash platform which eventually became a light weight multimedia platform. Youtube is using a flash video player and podcasters are using flash audio players on their websites. Application programmers found that programing for Flash a little challenging. Macromedia came to the rescue with Flex, a programing interface for Flash. Adobe continued to improve Flex when they got it from Macromedia. Technology advanced and an all new Markup language was developed for the web, XML or Extensible Markup Language. The flexibility of XML allowed Javascript to do amazing things on the same webpage. Enter AJAX, Asynchronous JavaScript and XML. This allows interaction with a webpage without having to reload the page. Good examples of AJAX is Google Reader and Yahoo! Mail. Take, the latest and greates HTML, Flash, Flex, and AJAX and put it into a Runtime environment and you get Adobe AIR. With these advanced technologies, I think that Java may end up going to the wayside. AIR is light, fast, and uses existing web technologies to provide you with an app in an offline environment. Web pages and applications need to be light in order to succeed with cloud computing. AIR allows you to take these web technologies right to the desktop. Right now AIR is still in Beta but there are already programs that you can use with it. Check out Pownce and Snitter. These applications are really slick and light weight on your computer. Snitter minimizes to your system tray in Windows, which I really appreciate. I wish Pownce would do the same. Check out Adobe AIR and let me know what you think. AIR is what Java was suppose to be.

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